What are the expected goals (xG) predicted for this match?

Sierra Leone

(xG) 1.00 - 0.50

Equatorial Guinea

Mathematical Predictions: Sierra Leone vs Equatorial Guinea

TOTAL GOALS

Under 2.5

Probability 80.88% Pending

MATCH RESULT

Draw

Pending

Historical Prediction Track Records

Sierra Leone Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Sierra Leone
Date	Fixture	1X2	O/U 2.5	FT
No historical records found.

Equatorial Guinea Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Equatorial Guinea
Date	Fixture	1X2	O/U 2.5	FT
No historical records found.

Sierra Leone vs Equatorial Guinea

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis

World Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

2027-03-28T20:00:00

TBA

In their previous 1 head-to-head matches, Sierra Leone scored an average of 0.00 goals per match, compared to Equatorial Guinea 1.00 goals.

Over their last 10 matches, Sierra Leone scored an average of 2.00 and conceded 3.00, whereas Equatorial Guinea scored 0.00 and conceded 2.00.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Sierra Leone vs Equatorial Guinea match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.00 for Sierra Leone and 0.50 for Equatorial Guinea. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Under 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 80.88%.

H2H - Sierra Leone vs. Equatorial Guinea

28 Mar 27

Sierra Leone

(HT -)

Equatorial Guinea

28 Sep 26

Equatorial Guinea

1 - 0

(HT 1-0)

Sierra Leone

Team Form (Last 6)

Sierra Leone

08 Oct vs Burkina Faso 0-1

12 Oct @ Djibouti 1-2

06 Jun vs Liberia 1-0

09 Jun @ Liberia 3-1

24 Sep vs Zimbabwe 2-3

28 Sep @ Equatorial Guinea 1-0

Equatorial Guinea

31 Dec vs Algeria 1-3

25 Mar @ Kyrgyzstan 0-1

31 Mar vs Madagascar 1-1

09 Jun vs Comoros 0-1

24 Sep @ Congo DR 2-0

28 Sep vs Sierra Leone 1-0

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.